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UFC 253 Predictions

UFC 253 Predictions

Inform your predictions ahead of UFC 253 with insight from Pinnacle's odds alongside stats and analysis.

Israel Adesanya vs. Paulo Costa predictions

Israel Adesanya

Paulo Costa



The market gives Israel Adesanya just under a 60% chance of successfully defending the UFC Middleweight Championship against Paulo Costa (#2). Adesanya is undefeated in 19 MMA fights and collected four Performance of the Night awards from his last 10 appearances in the octagon. Of his last seven fights, five lasted the duration, with Adesanya emerging victorious via unanimous decision on all but one occasion.

Similarly, Costa is yet to suffer a loss in his 13 MMA outings, which include five UFC bouts. He is undoubtedly a knockout specialist, with all but two of his wins achieved in such a manner. Despite this, he has only been involved in one UFC fight settled in the opening round and each of his bouts in the league has lasted longer than the previous.

Bet: Israel Adesanya vs. Paulo Costa odds

Dominick Reyes vs. Jan Blachowicz predictions

Dominick Reyes

Jan Blachowicz



Dominick Reyes (#1) is favoured to earn the vacant UFC Light Heavyweight belt at the expense of Jan Blachowicz (#3). Reyes’ only MMA defeat came from his last outing in the octagon at the hands of the previous champion Jon Jones, who relinquished the title last month. Of his 12 MMA wins to date, nine were achieved in the first round.

Blachowicz enters this bout following seven wins in eight fights, a run that featured four Performance of the Night awards. Conversely, the 37-year-old has suffered eight MMA losses in his career, five of which were via submission. He has only been involved in one fight settled in the opening round since October 2014.

Bet: Dominick Reyes vs. Jan Blachowicz odds

Hakeem Dawodu vs. Zubaira Tukhugov predictions

Hakeem Dawodu

Zubaira Tukhugov



The odds are struggling to separate Hakeem Dawodu and Zubaira Tukhugov for what could prove an intriguing Featherweight clash. Since losing his UFC debut against Danny Henry in March 2018, Dawodu has recorded four successive wins, three of which were settled by decision. His 13 MMA fights have produced just one result decided on a submission.

Tukhugov can boast a similarly impressive UFC record of four wins, one defeat and one draw from six bouts. ‘The Warrior’ has crafted a reputation for carving out victories over the distance, with 11 of his 19 MMA victories earned via decision.

Bet: Hakeem Duwodu vs. Zubaira Tukhugov odds

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Kai Kara France vs. Brandon Royval predictions

Kai Kara France

Brandon Royval



Kai Kara France (#7) is expected to beat Brandon Royval (#10) in this Flyweight bout. Brandon Moreno is the only man to have defeated France in his last 10 bouts, which have witnessed seven fights that have lasted the distance. Indeed, all five of France’s UFC bouts have been decided via submission and none of his fights have produced a knockout since April 2017.

Royval’s CV features a solitary UFC appearance, at which he defied broad expectations to defeat Tim Elliott with an arm triangle choke at UFC on ESPN 9 in May. A win will grant Royval a fourth successive MMA victory - something he is yet to achieve in his career.

Bet: Kai Kara France vs. Brandon Royval odds

Diego Sanchez vs. Jake Matthews predictions

Diego Sanchez

Jake Matthews



Jake Matthews is predicted to encounter minimal difficulty in overcoming Diego Sanchez for this Welterweight clash. Since his return to the division, the Australian has won all but one of his six UFC bouts, which were all settled by either decision or technical submission.

Conversely, Sanchez has endured more inconsistent form, with his last 10 MMA bouts producing five wins and defeats apiece. A disqualification for Michael Pereira granted him a win in his last octagon outing at UFC Fight Night 167 in February, but he has only recorded back-to-back wins on one occasion since March 2011.

Bet: Diego Sanchez vs. Jake Matthews odds

Brad Riddell vs. Alex Da Silva predictions

Brad Riddell

Alex Da Silva



The market suggests Brad Riddell will pick up a sixth successive MMA win against Alex Da Silva in a Lightweight bout. Riddell has started his UFC tenure by beating both Jamie Mullarkey and Magomed Mustafaev via decision, although the majority of his eight career victories were achieved via knockout.

Cancelled bouts have resulted in this fight serving as Da Silva’s first octagon outing in just over a year. Similarly to Riddell, this will be his third UFC fight, having lost to Alexander Yakovlev before defeating Rodrigo Vargas at UFC on ESPN 14. Of his 21 MMA wins, just one came from a fight that lasted the duration.

Bet: Brad Riddell vs. Alex Da Silva odds

Shane Young vs. Nate Landwehr predictions

Shane Young

Nate Landwehr



Shane Young is favoured to emerge victorious ahead of Nate Landwehr for this Lightweight bout. The former is presently enjoying a run of seven wins from eight fights, although this will be his first since defeating Austin Arnett at UFC 234 in February 2019. All of his four MMA defeats have come from bouts settled via decision.

Landwehr can boast equally encouraging recent results, and Herbert Burns is the only fighter to have defeated him in his last nine bouts. Landwehr is certainly a fighter that prefers to keep proceedings upright and none of his 14 MMA victories to date were achieved via submission.

Bet: Shane Young vs. Nate Landwehr odds

William Knight vs. Aleksa Camur predictions

William Knight

Aleksa Camur



Aleksa Camur is predicted to overcome William Knight in this Light Heavyweight clash. Camur’s six MMA fights are yet to produce a loss and he defeated Justin Ledet by unanimous decision for his UFC debut at UFC 246 in January. Camur is proficient with his fists and of his six MMA victories, four were earned via punch-led knockouts.

Meanwhile, this is The Knightmare’s first UFC bout, having recorded eight wins in nine MMA fights up to this point. Of those, five featured first round wins and five were achieved via knockout. Knight has actually already fought this month, beating Cody Brundage at the Contender Series 2020.

Bet: William Knight vs. Aleska Camur odds

Jeff Hughes vs. Juan Espino predictions

Jeff Hughes

Juan Espino



The market indicates that Juan Espino has just over a 70% likelihood of marking his UFC debut by beating Jeff Hughes in this Heavyweight bout. Espino is not accustomed to his fights lasting beyond the first round, and all but two of his nine MMA wins to date were secured in this timeframe.

Hughes will be searching for both his first UFC victory and first win in four fights following a no contest sandwiched by defeats against Maurice Greene and Raphoel Pessoa. Conversely, he is more willing to carve out victories over the distance, and five and his seven fights that lasted the duration were decided in his favour.

Bet: Jeff Hughes vs. Juan Espino odds

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