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Champions League Predictions


Champions League Predictions

This season’s Champions League is now down to the last 16 with some exciting ties coming up. Inform your Champions League predictions ahead of the round of 16 with insight from Pinnacle's odds alongside team news and analysis.

Barcelona vs. Paris Saint-Germain predictions

Barcelona

Draw

Paris Saint-Germain

40.54%

25.70%

33.76%

Barcelona are narrowly favoured to take a first leg advantage in this tie with a home win over PSG. The hosts squandered the chance to win Group G courtesy of a highly disappointing 3-0 home defeat to Juventus, although their form appears to have taken a positive turn with five wins from five La Liga matches in January. Barcelona have not failed to progress to the quarter-finals of the Champions League since 2007.

PSG will enter this tie sporting a change in manager, as Thomas Tuchel was sacked and replaced by Mauricio Pochettino in the New Year. While they impressively topped a group featuring Manchester United and RB Leipzig, they are currently embroiled in a noticeably tighter title race than Ligue 1 has come to expect in recent years and they have already lost more games in all competitions this season (seven) than in the entirety of 2019/20 (five).

Bet: Barcelona vs. Paris Saint-Germain odds

RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool predictions

RB Leipzig

Draw

Liverpool

27.18%

26.74%

46.08%

NB: Due to COVID-related travel restrictions, this match will be played at the Puskas Arena in Budapest.

Liverpool are predicted to take what would be a much-needed victory from their match against RB Leipzig. The defending Premier League champions’ title bid has been recently derailed by a series of injuries and disappointing results, culminating in three straight home league defeats after a run of 68 fixtures at Anfield unbeaten. Virgil Van Dijk, Joe Gomez and Joel Matip are among defensive injuries for the 2019 winners.

Last season’s semi-finalists RB Leipzig turned in one of their finest ever Champions League performances to beat Manchester United 3-2 and progress from Group H, although similarly their domestic form does not offer much to boast about. Julian Nagelsmann’s side kept a clean sheet in their last eight victories in all competitions.

Bet: RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool odds

FC Porto vs. Juventus predictions

FC Porto

Draw

Juventus

22.78%

30.09%

47.13%

The market gives Juventus just under a 50% chance of overcoming Porto away from home. While the visitors still appear to be somewhat finding their feet under Andrea Pirlo, they looked impressive and typically defensively solid throughout the group stage, topping Group G while conceding just four goals. Cristiano Ronaldo has 14 goals in 21 Champions League games since joining the Italian champions.

Porto finished second in Group C with an impressive five clean sheets to their name, and more importantly highlighted their ability to tussle with the competition’s bigger names with their 0-0 draw against Manchester City. However, they have only reached the quarter-finals of the tournament on three occasions since winning it in 2004.

Bet: FC Porto vs. Juventus odds

Make the most of your Champions League predictions

Pinnacle offer the best odds for Champions League soccer betting

Sevilla vs. Borussia Dortmund predictions

Sevilla

Draw

Borussia Dortmund

39.21%

28.40%

32.39%

The odds give Europa League winners Sevilla a slight edge in claiming a first leg victory at the expense of Borussia Dortmund. The Spanish side finished second in Group E in somewhat dramatic fashion, most notably coming back from 2-0 down to win and netting a 95th minute winner in their two fixtures against Krasnodar respectively. While on their day Julen Lopetegui’s team provide a stern test for any opponent, their shortage of quality players beyond their starting 11 was exhibited in their 4-0 home defeat to Chelsea.

Borussia Dortmund are another team who have recently changed manager, with Lucien Favre replaced by interim coach Edin Terzic. Dortmund topped Group F, which was broadly considered one of the group stage’s less challenging line-ups, although talisman Erling Haaland has now racked up 18 goals in 16 Champions League matches.

Bet: Sevilla vs. Borussia Dortmund odds

Atletico Madrid vs. Chelsea predictions

Atletico Madrid

Draw

Chelsea

42.11%

29.98%

27.91%

NB: Due to COVID-related travel restrictions, this match will be played at the Arena Nationala in Bucharest.

Atletico Madrid are predicted to record a first leg victory against Chelsea. The hosts have been thoroughly impressive in La Liga this season, losing just once and conceding only 10 goals in their opening 19 matches, to establish a 10-point lead with a game in hand at the end of January. However, they struggled for both goals and wins in the group stage, recording just seven and two from their six fixtures respectively.

Chelsea comfortably topped Group E unbeaten and while conceding just two goals. However, since then a string of disappointing league results culminated in the sacking of manager Frank Lampard, who has been replaced by Thomas Tuchel. Winning the Champions League could end up representing Chelsea's best chance of qualifying for it next season, although last their five meetings with Atletico in all competitions produced a lone win.

Bet: Atletico Madrid vs. Chelsea odds

Lazio vs. Bayern Munich predictions

Lazio

Draw

Bayern Munich

17.94%

22.01%

60.05%

Lazio are not expected to offer any formidable disruption to defending champions Bayern Munich’s attempts to lift the trophy again. A spate of injuries meant that the Group F runners-up endured a stuttering start to the season, although they have since reignited their top four bid in Serie A with five straight wins. The hosts have only reached the quarter-finals of any European competition once since 2013.

Bayern Munich are now undefeated in 17 Champions League fixtures, winning 16. While questions have occasionally been raised about the quality of their defending this season, at the end of January they sat seven points clear at the top of the Bundesliga and had netted just under three goals per game in all competitions. Suitably, they were the group stage’s top scorers with 18 goals.

Bet: Lazio vs. Bayern Munich odds

Atalanta BC vs. Real Madrid predictions

Atalanta BC

Draw

Real Madrid

33.49%

25.67%

40.84%

The odds give Real Madrid just over a 40% chance of earning an away win from their first leg against Atalanta. Zinedine Zidane’s side turned in uncharacteristically shaky form during the group stage and kept just two clean sheets in their six matches. Since they last won the Champions League in 2018, they have failed to progress from a knockout round tie.

Atalanta finished second in Group D, albeit with results such as their 5-0 home loss to Liverpool highlighting their relative inexperience on the continental stage. While their habitual strong goal scoring form has been carried over into this season, they have somewhat struggled for consistency in all competitions.

Bet: Atalanta BC vs. Real Madrid odds

Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Manchester City predictions

Borussia Monchengladbach

Draw

Manchester City

17.50%

22.06%

60.44%

NB: Due to COVID-related travel restrictions, this match will be played at the Puskas Arena in Budapest.

Manchester City are strongly favoured to overcome Borussia Monchengladbach in what the market is indicating is the biggest mismatch among the first leg ties. City comfortably won Group C without any degree of difficulty, conceding a solitary goal in the process and with only Bayern Munich turning in a greater goal difference than their +12. However, they did lose half of their last 10 matches in the knockout stage.

Gladbach had to rely on their superior head-to-head record over Shakhtar Donetsk in Group B to secure their Round of 16 spot, and worryingly only RB Leipzig conceded more goals during the group stage among the teams that progressed from it. They have been hovering just under the European spots in the Bundesliga throughout the season.

Bet: Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Manchester City odds

Get the best Champions League odds on all of this season's matches with Pinnacle.

*Odds subject to change

 


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