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Rugby World Cup 2019 preview


Rugby World Cup 2019 preview

The 2019 Rugby World Cup is set to feature twenty of the best rugby playing nations converging in Japan for the first ever World Cup to be held in Asia. What are the Rugby World Cup winner odds? What should bettors consider for their Rugby World Cup predictions? Who will win the 2019 Rugby World Cup? Read on to find out.

Rugby World Cup 2019 winner odds

Team

Odds

Implied Probability (%)

New Zealand

2.190

45.7

South Africa

5.610

17.8

England

5.940

16.8

Ireland

6.110

16.4

Wales

8.450

11.8

Australia

9.680

10.3

France

26.990

3.7

Scotland

28.780

3.5

Argentina

37.650

2.7

The Field

51.400

1.9

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Rugby World Cup 2019 pools

Pool A

Pool B

Pool C

Pool D

Ireland

New Zealand

England

Australia

Scotland

South Africa

France

Wales

Japan

Italy

Argentina

Georgia

Russia

Namibia

United States

Fiji

Samoa

Canada

Tonga

Uruguay

Rugby World Cup tournament format

48 games will be played over a fortnight from September 20, in 12 cities across Japan.

The 20 teams are divided into four pools of five teams. Each pool will be a single round-robin of 10 games.

Teams are awarded four points for a win, two for a draw and none for a defeat by eight or more points.

Bonus points will be awarded for the below situations and both situations can apply.

A) Team scores four tries
B) Team loses by fewer than eight points

The teams finishing in the top two of each pool advance to the quarter-finals, then the semi-finals with the Cup culminating in the final to be played in Nissan Stadium in Yokohama on November 2.

With the added incentive of qualification for the 2023 Rugby World Cup also on offer for the top three teams of each pool, it should make for an interesting tournament.

Who are the Rugby World Cup favourites?

Pinnacle’s Rugby World Cup winner odds imply that the All Blacks have a 45.70% chance of winning this year’s Rugby World Cup, meaning they have a very strong chance of winning their third consecutive Webb Ellis Cup and fourth one overall.

Led by coach Steve Hansen, the All Black have an abundance of talent with the likes of Richie Mo’unga, Aaron Smith, Sonny Bill Williams, Beauden Barrett. They are led by captain Kieran Read and seem to have the best team (on paper) by a considerable margin.

Can anyone defeat the All Blacks?

It’s easy to see why the All Blacks are the tournament favourites to be World Champions for a record fourth time due to their long reign of dominance. They have a record of 52 wins, six loses and two draws in the last 60 matches going back to July 2015.

Recently, however New Zealand’s form heading into the tournament has been less than stellar, with defeats to Australia, Ireland and South Africa resulting in the All Blacks being leapfrogged by Wales in the World Rugby Rankings which they had previously held for 509 consecutive weeks.

Rugby World Cup predictions: The other contenders

South Africa (5.610*) are expected to be one of New Zealand’s closest challengers with recent results against the All Blacks of one win and one draw showing they can match them on their day.

The likes of Eben Etzebeth, Faf de Klerk, Handre Pollard and captain Siya Kolisi, will need to step up and show consistency. If they can do so the Springboks are certainly capable of being crowned world champions.

World Rugby’s number one team, Wales (8.450*) come into the tournament in red hot form on the back of a Six Nations Grand Slam victory where they went undefeated against the best teams in Europe.

Their squad will be spearheaded by workhorse and arguably the world’s best player Alun Wyn Jones along with unpredictable, outside-half Dan Biggar.

Wales might not have the flair of the teams from the Southern Hemisphere but with their discipline, defensive set up and physical strength make them genuine contenders to win their first World Cup.

England (5.940*) under mercurial coach, Eddie Jones will look to improve from their poor 2015 World Cup showing with a squad mixed with experience and youth.

Finishing second in the Six Nations proves that with consistency and discipline they have the potential to make some noise in this tournament, especially off the back of recording their biggest ever winning margin against Ireland.

Ireland (6.110*) are only a year removed from a successful 2018 campaign which saw highlights such as achieving a Six Nations Grand Slam, defeating the All Blacks (while also keeping them try-less in a game).

The perennial under-achievers will look to finally have a deep run and progress for the first time past the quarter-finals. Unfortunately, the group selection has not been kind as whoever wins Pool A (Ireland, Scotland, Japan, Russia, Samoa) or comes second will have to play the teams that qualify from Pool B (New Zealand or South Africa) in the quarter-finals.

One team who could look to surprise a few experts is Argentina (37.650*). They have had a few good results under recently appointed coach and former player Mario Ledesma. October 5 against England could be a real upset if the Pumas perform like they usually do in big tournaments.

Scotland (28.780*) could be seen as a team of two sides. It seems that when playing at home they become the second best team in the world as shown by wins over quality opponents (Australia, England, France). However, they often go missing when playing away. It’s trying to put the two sides together that’s the problem for Scotland but they have the talents such as Finn Russell that are capable of overcoming any opponent.

Australia (9.680*) otherwise known as the ‘Wallabies’ come into the World Cup under a cloud of doubt due to squad selection and inconsistent results along with their World Rugby ranking of six. With an implied win probability (10.3%) and the absence of controversial star Israel Folau, some would suggest the Aussies should be dismissed but to do so would be at your own fault as they possess a talented squad with stars such as Scott Sio, Will Genia, Bernard Foley, Tevita Kuridrani, Kurtley Beale and are led by do-it-all captain, Michael Hooper.

The Wallabies will certainly be looking to replicate their form as in previous tournaments as they are second only to the All Blacks in terms of World Cup success. They are capable of defeating any team when it all clicks into place (defeated New Zealand 47-26, the largest margin of victory since 2015) but whether they can consistently perform throughout the tournament is a different question altogether.

Get the latest Rugby World Cup 2019 odds with Pinnacle

*Odds subject to change




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