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Premier League preview: Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur


Premier League preview: Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur

The North London Derby is our highlight fixture in the Premier League this weekend as Arsenal host Tottenham. Looking for value in the Arsenal vs. Tottenham odds? Read on to inform your Arsenal vs. Tottenham prediction.

A close look at the Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds

The 1X2 odds make Arsenal slight favourites at 2.560*, to edge what looks like an extremely close North London Derby. The implied probability of a win for Unai Emery’s side is nearly 40%.*

The Over/Under Total is set at 3 which means the betting market is expecting goals with Over 3 Goals currently priced at 1.917*.

Time: Sunday, December 2, 13:30 UTC kick-off

Venue: Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur predicted lineups

Arsenal predicted lineup

(4-2-3-1) Leno; Bellerin, Mustafi, Holding, Kolasinac; Torreira, Xhaka; Iwobi, Ozil, Aubameyang; Lacazette.

Arsenal team news

Unai Emery has six players on the injury table with 3 long term absentees.

Alexandre Lacazette - Groin injury (doubt)

Nacho Monreal - Hamstring injury (out)

Konstantinos Mavropanos - Groin injury (out)

Laurent Koscielny - Achilles injury (out)

Danny Welbeck - Ankle injury (out)

Stephan Lichtsteiner - Hamstring injury (doubt)

Tottenham predicted lineup

(3-4-3) Lloris; Trippier, Alderweireld, Sanchez, Vertonghen; Winks, Eriksen; Sissoko, Alli, Son; Kane.

Tottenham team news:

Jan Vertonghen returned at the weekend after two months on the sideine and will be in contention for a start.

Mousa Dembele remains out with an ankle problem and won't return until the new year.

Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur expected goals stats

• Arsenal expected goals per game: 1.43

• Arsenal expected goals against per game: 1.37

• Arsenal expected points per game: 1.41

• Tottenham expected goals per game: 1.86

• Tottenham expected goals against per game: 1.26

• Tottenham expected points per game: 1.80

Inform your Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Arsenal sit in fifth position in the Premier League but are currently the leading outliers when looking at the expected goals table, highlighting that they are only the 11th best team so far this season.

Their results were unjustified early on in the season, with performances not meriting the victories they were achieving, but a good win away at Bournemouth on Sunday means they will enter the North London Derby in high spirits and despite not overperforming Unai Emery has certainly instilled a more robust feel to the Arsenal side despite what the stats suggest.

The Gunners are now undefeated in 17 matches since losing to Chelsea and have scored at least twice in nearly all of their Premier League matches this season – highlighting that a top-four place should be well within their grasp if they can maintain these figures.

One of Arsenal’s main problems this term is being exploited by runs into space in behind the defence, mainly when being counter-attacked by the opposition. It has been a key problem for Unai Emery so far, and despite switching up formation to a 3-5-2 it was still evident against Bournemouth and is something that will have to be addressed to prevent Spurs (who are quick on the counter) coming away with all three points.

Tottenham ran out as comfortable 3-0 winners last weekend handing Mauricio Sarri his first league defeat as Chelsea manager. Spurs produced some fine football, with the likes of Harry Kane, Christian Eriksen, and Dele Alli all in good form. There’s lots to admire about Spurs and Pochettino and it seems a case of if they can now take things to the next level without stagnating into a similar pattern of missing out on key results at crucial stages of the season.

Tottenham will come into the North London Derby off the back of winning seven of their last eight league games, and now sit in the top four of the Premier League table. It has been Spurs best start to a Premier League season, but according to expected goals, their development is inferior to last season so there is still room for improvement despite the positive results.

Defensively their statistics are the weakest of the top four sides, and have been fortunate only to concede 10 goals from the chances they have allowed. Despite that, the fixture always guarantees excitement for bettors and with both sides looking capable of being impressive in attack and suspect in defence this season the North London Derby on Sunday should provide plenty more drama.

The Premier League have confirmed that Mike Dean will be in charge of the fixture and it was this match last season, that Dean was criticised by Mauricio Pochettino for allowing Shokdran Mustafi’s offside goal to count. Many Arsenal supporters believe the referee has a Tottenham bias and this could mean the weekend’s match could become an even more boisterous fixture than usual adding to the traditional fiery atmosphere.

Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur betting: Where is the value?

The evident value here is to look for goals. North London Derbies are always exciting – the two sides have 51 goals between them this season in just 13 matches – whilst only managing 7 clean sheets in all so odds of 1.917* on over 3 goals looks a sensible bet.

Despite their dominant victory over Chelsea, it is Tottenham who are slight outsiders in the betting market at 2.740* to record consecutive victories over their North London rivals. Unai Emery is unbeaten in the league since defeat to Chelsea on the second weekend of the season, but with Spurs recent good record against the Gunners means a 0 handicap bet on Pochettino’s side looks good value at 2.030*.

For bettors looking to alternative markets, Arsenal fixtures this season have seen both teams’ score in 77% of matches (both teams managed to score in 10 out of 13 matches played this season). The average percentage of games in which both teams score in the Premier League is 51.56% and with the attacking talent on display at both ends it is a high probability that both sides will find the net at some stage.

To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert betting advice. 

*Odds subject to change

 

 


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